Skip to content

Royal Ascot 2024: The Key Trends

With Royal Ascot taking place this week, I take a look at one key trend to keep on side in every race.
Royal Ascot

Tuesday 

Queen Anne Stakes

Look at horses who ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury. Since 1980 the race has produced 24 Queen Anne winners, who came from that race.

Coventry Stakes

The draw can be key. Six of the last 11 winners were drawn in either the highest or lowest three stalls.

King Charles III Stakes

Last time out winners have an excellent record in this race, with 13 of the last 24 winners having a recent victory next to their name.

St James’s Palace Stakes

Horses that ran in both English and Irish 2,000 Guineas runners is a great angle. It has produced 15 winners in the last 29 renewals. That stat will be an advantage for Rossalion and Haatem backers this year.

Ascot Stakes

Keep jump trainers on side. Willie Mullins, Nicky Henderson, Jonjo O’Neill and Charles Byrnes have all won the race since 2010.

Wolferton Stakes

Older horses are the way to go. In the last six renewals horses aged 5 or 6 have won the race.

Copper Horse Handicap

There are a few trends to go on in this race as it was introduced in 2020. The race has produced two winning favourites in four renewals at EVS and 3/1, so it might be worth keeping an eye on that top of the market.

Wednesday 

Queen Mary Stakes

Amazingly Aidan O’Brien is yet to win this race at Royal Ascot. Don’t be afraid of looking at other stables. Horses who ran well in the Listed Marygate Stakes at York, also have a good record in this race.

Queen’s Vase

The market is usually right in this race. Horses that were in the top four of the market have produced 26 of the last 29 winners, in the Queen’s Vase.

Duke Of Cambridge Stakes

John & Thady Gosden like to target this race, winning three of the last five renewals. This year it looks like they’ll be sending Running Lion, who looks to be their stand out candidate.

Prince Of Wales’s Stakes

This has been a graveyard for favourites. Cracksman, Bay Bridge and Luxembourg are all notable favourites, who have been turned over in recent years. Don’t say you haven’t been warned.

Royal Hunt Cup

Watch out for Saeed Bin Suroor. Both of his winners in this race Real World and Invisible Man  wore first-time headgear. If you see the blinkers or cheek pieces on then expect a bold run.

Kensington Palace Stakes

You don’t want to be drawn low. Even though there have only been three runnings of this race all the winners were drawn in Stall 8 or higher.

Windsor Castle Stakes

Don’t be afraid to be imaginative or take a flyer. Nine of the last 18 winners went off at double-figure prices.

Thursday 

Norfolk Stakes

Again this is a race that punters tend to struggle in at Royal Ascot. Previous winners are a good thing but the last two winners recorded a final SP of 50/1 and 150.

King George V Stakes

The Johnstons like to win this race. They’ve won it six times, so make sure to keep their runners on side.

Ribblesdale Stakes

Avoid Sir Michael Stoute in this race. He’s trained six favourites for this race and they haven’t managed to win.

Ascot Gold Cup

Despite being the longest race of the week the draw is crucial. The last six winners were drawn in Stall 7 or lower, so make sure you keep an eye on the draw.

Britannia Stakes

Winning on your previous start is a good thing. Eight of the last 13 winners of this race, won last time out.

Hampton Court Stakes

Look for horses who ran in the Classics. Four of the last sixes winners previously ran in the 2,000 Guineas or Epsom Derby on their last start.

Buckingham Palace Stakes

Don’t go for horses who are drawn in the centre. The last nine winners of the race have come from either the highest or lowest six stalls.

Friday

Albany Stakes

Look at horses who have run well at stiff uphill tracks. Horses who have won at Sandown in the past have won this race on three occasions. 

Commonwealth Cup

Muhaarar, Perfect Power and Advertise all tried running over further and then went back down to 6f to win this race. Look for horses who are dropping back in distance.

Coronation Stakes 

High draws aren’t terrible. Horses who were drawn in Stall 6 or higher have won 10 of the last 13 runnings of this race.

Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes

Last time out winners have an excellent record here. 15 of the last 29 winners won on their previous start.

Sandringham Stakes

Look for horses who are lightly raced in 2024. Only one of the last 12 winners had run more than twice that year.

King Edward VII Stakes

Look for potential Group 1 winners. Five of the last six winners went on to win Group 1.

Palace of Holyrood House Stakes

Keep fillies on side in this race. Though they haven’t won the race they have a great record of making the frame.

Saturday

Chesham Stakes

Paul and Oliver Cole are the trainers to watch in this race. All eight of their runners have placed in this race.

Jersey Stakes

Don’t worry about penalties. Four of the last 13 winners had to carry a penalty, so class can prevail here.

Hardwicke Stakes

This race usually goes to the punters. Five of the last 12 favourites won, so it’s worth looking at the top of the market.

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes

Royal Ascot form can be key. 14 of the last 28 winners had previously been placed at Royal Ascot.

Wokingham Stakes

Four or five-year-olds have an excellent record in the Wokingham Stakes. They’ve won 21 of the last 25 renewals.

Golden Gates Stakes

The market is usually a good indicator since this race started in 2020. All favourites have won or placed.

Queen Alexandra Stakes

Willie Mullins has an excellent record in this race being the joint-most winning trainer with four victories. It’s worth keeping an eye on his runners in the lucky last.

Read also...